SupplyVerdict

Sample decision · Amazon US

Three supplier quotes. Which one should fund the first order?

An Amazon US seller is comparing quotes for a Portable Blender priced at $24.99. The working plan assumes 200 units per month while testing demand without taking on more cash and inventory exposure than necessary.

Planning assumption, not a forecast. Monthly sales are used to compare inventory coverage and payback under the current assumptions.

Safe to explore. This sample decision does not change projects saved in your browser.

The buyer’s shortlist

Three quotes, three different jobs

The first-order choice is not the same as the lowest unit-cost choice.

Supplier A · Shenzhen

Needs quote clarification

Missing information
Carton packing details
Decision confidence
Medium

Confirm the missing packing information before treating this quote as sufficiently qualified for an order decision.

Supplier B · Dongguan

Best first test

Current recommendation
MOQ
300 units
Lowest cash requirement
$2,881.00
Fastest payback
1.14 months
Inventory coverage
About 1.5 months

Best first-test option under the current assumptions. Confirm the 50.00% deposit term before payment.

Supplier C · Ningbo

Best unit economics

Net margin
20.06%
Landed cost / unit
$7.73
MOQ
1,000 units
Inventory coverage
About 5.0 months
Inventory cash
$7,730.00

Better unit economics, but more suitable once demand is validated and the higher cash and inventory commitment is acceptable.

Try a tougher case

These temporary changes affect only this sample and never modify the base quotes.

Current base assumptions are active.

Decision status

READY TO TEST

Confirm the before-deposit checklist, negotiate any flagged terms, then place the smallest viable test order.

Balanced recommendation

Supplier B

Medium decision confidence

The analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.

Supplier B is the best balanced option for an initial order. It requires $4,849.00 less inventory cash than Supplier C and gives up 7.50 percentage points of expected margin. Supplier C is more suitable only when demand is already validated and its higher cash and inventory exposure are acceptable.

  • Confirm minimum acceptable net margin and amazon referral fee before paying the deposit.
Most important tradeoff
Supplier C adds 7.50 percentage points of expected margin but requires $4,849.00 more inventory cash than Supplier B.
Decision qualification
7 product or Amazon assumption(s) still use unconfirmed defaults.
Next action
Confirm the before-deposit checklist, negotiate any flagged terms, then place the smallest viable test order.

Recommendation basis

What this recommendation is based on

Provided51Estimated7Missing5Confirmed zero13Scenario override0CalculatedMethod-derived

Value-specific reasoning

Why the answers differ

  1. Supplier C adds 7.50 percentage points of expected margin but requires $4,849.00 more inventory cash than Supplier B.
  2. Supplier B reduces inventory coverage by 3.50 months compared with Supplier C.

Risk control

Before-deposit checklist

Critical gaps appear before confirmations and informational terms.

Product & Amazon assumptions

Confirm assumptions
  • Confirm minimum acceptable net margin against current source data.
  • Confirm amazon referral fee against current source data.
  • Confirm monthly storage cost against current source data.
  • Confirm amazon inbound cost against current source data.
  • Confirm other marketplace cost against current source data.
  • Confirm expected ACoS against current source data.
  • Confirm return-loss reserve against current source data.

Supplier A

Critical
  • Confirm incomplete packing information (units per carton, dimensions, and gross weight).

Supplier B

Commercial terms
  • High deposit: request 30% unless a higher payment is justified.

Supplier C

No current before-deposit actions.

Best for TestingLowest Cash RequirementFastest Payback

Supplier B

Base quote

  • Best-sized viable option for limiting initial cash and inventory exposure.
  • Smallest estimated inventory cash commitment.
  • Fewest estimated months to recover the initial inventory cash.
Best MarginLowest Landed Cost

Supplier C

Base quote

  • Highest expected net margin among decision-eligible options.
  • Lowest sale-ready inventory cost per unit.
Metric
Supplier ABase quoteDecision eligible
Supplier BBase quoteDecision eligible
Supplier CBase quoteDecision eligible
QuoteProvidedUnit price$5.30$5.90$4.70
Planned quantity500 units300 units1,000 units
EconomicsCalculatedLanded cost / unit$8.64$9.60$7.73
Net profit / unit$4.10$3.14$5.01
Net margin16.42%12.56%20.06%
Break-even ACoS28.42%24.56%32.06%
Cash & timeCalculatedInventory cash required$4,320.00$2,881.00$7,730.00
Deposit due$813.00$903.00$1,551.00
30-day launch cash$4,919.76$3,480.76$8,329.76
Inventory coverage2.50 months1.50 months5.00 months
Capital payback months1.70 months1.14 months3.04 months
Production lead time20 days15 days35 days
ReadinessCalculatedQuote coverage80%Usable with follow-up100%Strong quote coverage100%Strong quote coverage
Decision confidenceMediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.MediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.MediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.
Supplier ABase quoteDecision eligible
Unit priceProvided
$5.30
Planned quantity
500 units
Landed cost / unitCalculated
$8.64
Net profit / unit
$4.10
Net margin
16.42%
Break-even ACoS
28.42%
Inventory cash requiredCalculated
$4,320.00
Deposit due
$813.00
30-day launch cash
$4,919.76
Inventory coverage
2.50 months
Capital payback months
1.70 months
Production lead time
20 days
Quote coverageCalculated
80%Usable with follow-up
Decision confidence
MediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.
Supplier BBase quoteDecision eligible
Unit priceProvided
$5.90
Planned quantity
300 units
Landed cost / unitCalculated
$9.60
Net profit / unit
$3.14
Net margin
12.56%
Break-even ACoS
24.56%
Inventory cash requiredCalculated
$2,881.00
Deposit due
$903.00
30-day launch cash
$3,480.76
Inventory coverage
1.50 months
Capital payback months
1.14 months
Production lead time
15 days
Quote coverageCalculated
100%Strong quote coverage
Decision confidence
MediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.
Supplier CBase quoteDecision eligible
Unit priceProvided
$4.70
Planned quantity
1,000 units
Landed cost / unitCalculated
$7.73
Net profit / unit
$5.01
Net margin
20.06%
Break-even ACoS
32.06%
Inventory cash requiredCalculated
$7,730.00
Deposit due
$1,551.00
30-day launch cash
$8,329.76
Inventory coverage
5.00 months
Capital payback months
3.04 months
Production lead time
35 days
Quote coverageCalculated
100%Strong quote coverage
Decision confidence
MediumThe analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.
Unit price$5.30Maximum guardrail $6.90
MOQ / test quantityNo change requiredCoverage is test-sized.
DepositCurrent term acceptable30.00% deposit is within the acceptable range.
Lead timeCurrent timing acceptable20-day lead time is within the preferred range.
Unit price$5.90Maximum guardrail $6.54
MOQ / test quantityNo change requiredCoverage is test-sized.
DepositTarget 30.00%High upfront-payment risk: request no more than 30.00% unless the higher deposit is justified.
Lead timeCurrent timing acceptable15-day lead time is within the preferred range.
Unit price$4.70Maximum guardrail $7.21
MOQ / test quantity400 unitsRequest an MOQ of approximately 400 units, or ask for a paid trial order as close to 400 as possible. The current MOQ is 1000 units.
DepositCurrent term acceptable30.00% deposit is within the acceptable range.
Lead timeTarget 30 daysModerate lead-time risk: ask whether shipment can be confirmed within 30 days.
Supplier A80% complete · Medium decision confidence
Landed inventory Calculatedmerchandise + per-unit extras × quantity + order costs$4,320.00
Net profit / unit Calculatedselling price − landed cost − selling costs$4.10
Inventory coverage Calculatedplanned quantity ÷ expected monthly sales2.50 months
Known field states
Freight ProvidedDuty ProvidedDelivery Provided
Field states remain distinct; missing is never treated as confirmed zero.
Medium decision confidence

The analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.

  • 7 product or Amazon assumption(s) still use unconfirmed defaults.
  • 1 decision-relevant quote item(s) remain missing.
Supplier B100% complete · Medium decision confidence
Landed inventory Calculatedmerchandise + per-unit extras × quantity + order costs$2,881.00
Net profit / unit Calculatedselling price − landed cost − selling costs$3.14
Inventory coverage Calculatedplanned quantity ÷ expected monthly sales1.50 months
Known field states
Freight ProvidedDuty ProvidedDelivery Provided
Field states remain distinct; missing is never treated as confirmed zero.
Medium decision confidence

The analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.

  • 7 product or Amazon assumption(s) still use unconfirmed defaults.
  • Deposit is 50% or higher.
Supplier C100% complete · Medium decision confidence
Landed inventory Calculatedmerchandise + per-unit extras × quantity + order costs$7,730.00
Net profit / unit Calculatedselling price − landed cost − selling costs$5.01
Inventory coverage Calculatedplanned quantity ÷ expected monthly sales5.00 months
Known field states
Freight ProvidedDuty ProvidedDelivery Provided
Field states remain distinct; missing is never treated as confirmed zero.
Medium decision confidence

The analysis is usable, but one or more assumptions or quote details still need confirmation.

  • 7 product or Amazon assumption(s) still use unconfirmed defaults.

SupplyVerdict calculations are deterministic estimates based on entered assumptions. They are not customs, tax, legal, accounting, or demand guarantees.

Your sourcing decision

Ready to compare your own quotes?

Start with product and Amazon assumptions, then enter up to three supplier quotes. Your project stays in this browser.

Compare my quotes