Entered or confirmed by the user from a quotation or known business assumption.
Transparent by design
How SupplyVerdict reaches a supplier verdict.
Calculations are deterministic, use the values entered in the project, and expose missing or estimated information instead of hiding uncertainty.
Assumption provenance
Know where every important value came from.
SupplyVerdict keeps input state separate from calculation output. A calculated value is derived from the inputs below; it is not independently verified.
A confirmed zero receives confirmation credit and is never displayed as missing.
An assumption that is not yet confirmed by the relevant authoritative source.
Derived by SupplyVerdict from other inputs using the documented methodology.
A temporary scenario value that replaces the base-project assumption for comparison only.
A required or decision-relevant value has not been supplied.
Landed inventory cost
Landed inventory total combines supplier merchandise, per-unit packaging and prep, plus known order-level costs such as tooling, inspection, domestic transport, freight, insurance, duty, brokerage, and destination delivery. Missing costs remain missing in quote coverage and decision confidence; they are never silently inferred.
merchandise + (per-unit sourcing extras × quantity) + order-level costsLanded cost per unit
The total sale-ready inventory cost is divided by planned quantity. A zero or invalid quantity produces a structured unavailable result rather than Infinity or NaN.
landed inventory total ÷ planned quantityAmazon selling costs
Per-unit selling costs include referral fee, FBA fulfillment, monthly storage, inbound placement, other marketplace cost, expected advertising cost, and the return-loss reserve.
referral fee + FBA + storage + inbound + other marketplace + ads + returns reserveExpected profit and margin
Expected net profit per unit subtracts landed cost and selling costs from selling price. Net margin divides that result by selling price.
(selling price − landed cost − selling costs) ÷ selling priceBreak-even ACoS and selling price
Break-even ACoS is the advertising share available after every non-ad cost. Break-even selling price accounts for percentage-based referral, advertising, and returns assumptions. Non-positive denominators produce an explicit invalid state.
break-even ACoS = (selling price − non-ad costs) ÷ selling priceDeposit and inventory cash
Deposit due applies the supplier's deposit percentage to merchandise, packaging, and tooling, then adds sample cost. Inventory cash required equals the estimated landed inventory total and excludes ongoing operating overhead.
deposit = manufacturing subtotal × deposit rate + sample cost30-day launch cash
The launch estimate adds inventory cash to expected advertising spend for the smaller of planned quantity or first-month sales. Amazon disbursement delays are not modeled.
inventory cash + first-month units × advertising cost per unitInventory coverage and capital payback
Coverage divides planned units by expected monthly sales. Payback units estimate how many sales recover inventory cash using cash returned after selling costs; payback months divide those units by expected sales. These are estimates, not demand forecasts.
payback units = ceil(inventory cash ÷ cash returned per sold unit)Quote coverage
The existing weighted 100-point completeness review is shown as Quote coverage. It checks price and quantity, incoterm and origin, deposit and lead time, packing, freight, duty, delivery, prep, and explicit confirmation of other charges. Coverage is not calculation validity, Decision confidence, or permission to pay. Confirmed zero remains different from missing.
Weighted field-group confirmations, scored from 0 to 100Calculation status
A Valid calculation means the current inputs produce finite, structured outcomes. It does not mean the values are confirmed, verified, or commercially certain.
Valid or unavailable from structured calculation outcomesDecision confidence
Decision confidence combines quote coverage, critical logistics gaps, invalid economics, custom incoterm clarity, estimated-cost share, missing decision-relevant values, and unconfirmed product or Amazon defaults. It measures the completeness and certainty of this analysis—not supplier trust, legitimacy, product quality, or a guaranteed outcome.
High, Medium, or Low from documented deterministic thresholdsCategory winners and balanced recommendation
Eligible quotes receive separate testing, margin, landed-cost, cash, payback, and quote-strength conclusions. The balanced recommendation considers only commercially viable options and internally weights margin, cash, payback, coverage, lead time, and completeness. The internal rank is not presented as a universal public score.
Separate category rules + min-max normalized balanced dimensionsScenarios and downside presets
Supplier scenarios inherit the base quote and apply only explicit supported overrides. Freight, advertising, sales, return, and combined downside presets are temporary and reversible; they never overwrite canonical project values. Scenario results and decision confidence use the displayed overrides while the scenario is active.
Base quote + explicit overrides + temporary downside assumptionsNegotiation targets
Targets use current economics to calculate a maximum unit-price guardrail, a two-month test quantity where relevant, a 30% deposit request for higher terms, lead-time guidance, and missing information required before deposit. SupplyVerdict never suggests negotiating upward.
Targets are generated only where the existing negotiation engine supports themLimitations
Use the result as a decision aid, not a guarantee.
- Freight, fuel surcharges, currency effects, and duty can change.
- SupplyVerdict does not guarantee an HS classification.
- Expected monthly sales are user assumptions, not forecasts.
- High decision confidence means the current analysis has sufficiently complete inputs. It does not verify a supplier or guarantee the recommendation, profit, product quality, or commercial outcome.
- Outputs are not customs, legal, tax, investment, or accounting advice.